
OpenAI’s upcoming ChatGPT model is not only costly but also delayed
OpenAI’s GPT-5 Project Faces Significant Challenges
OpenAI’s ambitious new artificial intelligence initiative, GPT-5 (codenamed Orion), is encountering significant hurdles. The project is falling behind schedule and accruing substantial costs, with its long-term success still uncertain. Many question whether enough data exists to achieve the desired level of intelligence.
Delays and Rising Costs for GPT-5
The GPT-5 project, designed to be a substantial advancement over the technology behind ChatGPT, has been in development for over 18 months. OpenAI’s primary partner, Microsoft, had anticipated the release of the new model around mid-2024. However, sources close to the project reveal that this timeline is slipping, and the project is experiencing considerable delays.
Training Challenges and Performance Issues
OpenAI has undertaken at least two extensive training runs for Orion, each involving months of processing vast datasets aimed at enhancing its intelligence. Yet, these efforts have encountered various obstacles, with the software failing to meet the high performance expectations set by the team. Insiders report that, at best, GPT-5 only shows marginal improvements over the existing technology of ChatGPT.
The High Cost of Development
Despite the limited progress, the operational expenses associated with the GPT-5 project are immense. Estimates suggest that each six-month training run could cost as much as half a billion dollars in computing resources alone. These costs raise concerns about whether the improvements in GPT-5 justify the financial investment.
The Future of AI Investment and OpenAI’s Role
Analysts predict that the total investment in AI projects by tech giants could reach an eye-watering $1 trillion in the coming years. A significant portion of this investment is expected to depend on the success of OpenAI, which has been at the forefront of the AI revolution, with ChatGPT leading the charge in transforming AI capabilities for everyday use.
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